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Red49
21720.3
17531.0
Blue12
89121.9
8145.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52330204060801001204912

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
31.00.7
30.130.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
891
Unranked
21.90.7
25.324.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
Unranked
20.30.7
21.422.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
814
Unranked
5.10.7
7.66.9
Auto
Teleop
End