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Red30
42112.9
104627.6
Blue35
15511.1
5721.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423102060801001201401603035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1046
Unranked
27.60.6
28.227.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
57
Unranked
21.50.6
20.921.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
421
Unranked
12.90.6
13.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
155
Unranked
11.10.6
10.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End