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Red58
18113.2
7432.8
Blue57
20735.6
19521.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4458020801001201401605857

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
Unranked
32.80.6
31.732.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
207
Unranked
35.60.6
36.235.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
Unranked
13.20.6
12.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
195
Unranked
21.60.6
22.121.6
Auto
Teleop
End