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Red13
52920.4
30329.6
Blue5
15511.1
55520.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49250406080100120140135

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
Unranked
29.60.6
25.625.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
555
Unranked
20.90.6
18.319.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
529
Unranked
20.40.6
23.022.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
155
Unranked
11.10.6
6.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End