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Red72
13131.9
27918.2
Blue53
89121.9
103823.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514402060801001207253

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
31.90.5
26.927.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
1038
Unranked
23.40.7
18.117.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
279
Unranked
18.20.7
24.525.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
891
Unranked
21.90.6
25.825.2
Auto
Teleop
End