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Red101
21720.3
19521.6
Blue40
687-2.6
2117.3
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37160608010012010140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
21.61.7
17.819.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
21
Unranked
17.31.7
20.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
Unranked
20.31.5
18.820.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.8
687
Unranked
-2.62.2
-4.2-6.4
Auto
Teleop
End