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Red31
8145.1
59821.5
Blue6
89121.9
923.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2948020406080100120140316

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
598
Unranked
21.52.2
22.524.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
9
Unranked
23.51.7
23.221.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
814
Unranked
5.11.7
6.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.8
891
Unranked
21.92.2
25.223.0
Auto
Teleop
End