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Red49
8425.5
13131.9
Blue0
102924.7
66225.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48570204080100120490

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
31.92.2
27.329.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
662
Unranked
25.42.2
30.127.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
84
Unranked
25.52.2
20.222.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1029
Unranked
24.72.2
27.325.1
Auto
Teleop
End