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Red22
8145.1
26329.0
Blue78
50315.1
103823.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3634010203040506070802278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
Unranked
29.02.2
27.825.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1038
Unranked
23.42.9
18.921.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
814
Unranked
5.12.2
8.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
503
Unranked
15.12.9
15.518.4
Auto
Teleop
End