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Red70
8425.5
89121.9
Blue35
46113.8
29311.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45270204060801001207035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84
Unranked
25.50.6
22.423.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
461
Unranked
13.80.6
17.817.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
891
Unranked
21.90.8
23.023.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
293
Unranked
11.20.6
9.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End