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Red47
19521.6
118018.3
Blue30
104627.6
28032.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3965020801001201404730

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
21.61.6
20.021.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
280
Unranked
32.81.6
34.432.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1180
Unranked
18.31.6
19.120.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
1046
Unranked
27.62.0
30.428.5
Auto
Teleop
End