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Red44
23125.3
42112.9
Blue110
16723.2
15511.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41240608010012044110

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
Unranked
25.33.1
25.422.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
167
Unranked
23.23.8
17.921.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
421
Unranked
12.93.1
15.312.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
155
Unranked
11.13.1
5.78.8
Auto
Teleop
End