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Red43
35934.7
94519.4
Blue2
66225.4
46113.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5145020406080100432

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
Unranked
34.71.3
33.434.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
662
Unranked
25.41.3
27.626.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
945
Unranked
19.41.3
17.819.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
461
Unranked
13.81.3
17.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End