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Red49
4521.5
12325.3
Blue92
6413.3
13131.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483602060801001204992

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
Unranked
25.32.0
28.126.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
131
Unranked
31.92.0
28.931.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45
Unranked
21.52.0
19.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
64
Unranked
13.32.0
7.09.1
Auto
Teleop
End