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Red40
22521.9
114717.7
Blue33
59928.9
24914.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39380102030506070804033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
Unranked
21.90.4
20.621.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
599
Unranked
28.90.4
26.025.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1147
Unranked
17.70.4
16.516.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
249
Unranked
14.70.4
13.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End