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Red4
59821.5
118018.3
Blue44
2117.3
63816.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45300206080100120444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
598
Unranked
21.52.1
23.921.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
21
Unranked
17.32.1
15.517.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1180
Unranked
18.32.1
21.018.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
638
Unranked
16.42.1
14.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End