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Red14
7432.8
6830.6
Blue27
34126.3
23627.0
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645301001502001427

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
Unranked
32.80.3
33.132.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
236
Unranked
27.00.3
26.626.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68
Unranked
30.60.3
30.930.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
341
Unranked
26.30.3
26.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End