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Red72
16723.2
31226.6
Blue31
63816.4
54128.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47470204060801007231

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
Unranked
26.60.5
25.225.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
541
Unranked
28.90.5
30.029.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
167
Unranked
23.20.5
21.622.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
638
Unranked
16.40.5
17.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End