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Red0
32237.0
2177.0
Blue26
65824.2
49428.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4652020406080100120026

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
322
Unranked
37.00.2
39.038.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
494
Unranked
28.90.2
28.628.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
Unranked
7.00.2
7.37.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
658
Unranked
24.20.4
23.824.2
Auto
Teleop
End