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Red78
8623.3
4722.7
Blue36
4076.6
24721.4
37%Model gave it63%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2135060801001207836

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47
Unranked
22.72.1
21.223.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
247
Unranked
21.43.5
24.821.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
862
Unranked
3.33.5
-0.23.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
407
Unranked
6.63.5
10.16.6
Auto
Teleop
End