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Red130
24721.4
46939.3
Blue12
5735.3
3978.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5529020408010012014016013012

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
39.35.3
33.638.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.6
397
Unranked
8.75.7
16.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
247
Unranked
21.45.7
21.627.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
573
Unranked
5.35.3
12.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End