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Red42
50316.9
3331.8
Blue39
31315.6
44016.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423901001502002503004239

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
31.80.0
25.325.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
440
Unranked
16.70.0
21.021.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
Unranked
16.90.0
17.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
313
Unranked
15.60.0
17.917.9
Auto
Teleop
End