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Red41
47028.0
31315.6
Blue44
101727.9
85722.4
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37360501001502002504144

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
470
Unranked
28.00.3
18.518.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1017
Unranked
27.99.4
27.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
313
Unranked
15.60.3
18.217.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
857
Unranked
22.40.3
17.417.7
Auto
Teleop
End