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Red41
8222.5
12327.5
Blue54
83011.6
51512.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33270501001504154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
Unranked
27.51.0
18.517.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
515
Unranked
12.01.2
15.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
822
Unranked
2.51.2
14.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
830
Unranked
11.61.1
11.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End