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Red8
6836.3
12167.3
Blue70
31424.0
27922.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50460100150200250300870

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
Unranked
36.32.5
41.438.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
314
Unranked
24.03.3
25.628.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1216
Unranked
7.34.1
8.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
279
Unranked
22.64.1
20.724.8
Auto
Teleop
End