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Red49
28026.5
83011.6
Blue41
70317.4
101011.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35280501001502004941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
Unranked
26.50.1
22.622.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
703
Unranked
17.40.1
16.716.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
Unranked
11.60.1
12.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1010
Unranked
11.40.1
11.611.5
Auto
Teleop
End