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Red44
3266.8
29224.2
Blue14
51916.5
3978.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29220501001504414

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
24.21.2
18.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
519
Unranked
16.50.9
17.316.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
326
Unranked
6.81.4
10.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
397
Unranked
8.71.4
4.73.3
Auto
Teleop
End