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Red51
46939.3
22629.9
Blue47
101517.2
28026.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions723802060801001201401605147

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
39.31.2
42.240.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
280
Unranked
26.51.9
20.922.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
226
Unranked
29.91.2
29.728.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
1015
Unranked
17.21.2
17.018.3
Auto
Teleop
End