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Red49
44016.7
51916.5
Blue18
24010.2
51512.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302604060801001201404918

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
440
Unranked
16.71.7
13.515.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
515
Unranked
12.01.7
15.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
519
Unranked
16.51.0
16.417.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
240
Unranked
10.21.7
10.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End