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Red72
1829.1
49428.9
Blue3
8623.3
101011.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29350206080100120140160723

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
28.94.7
14.419.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.5
1010
Unranked
11.46.8
20.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
182
Unranked
9.14.7
14.619.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
862
Unranked
3.34.7
16.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End