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Red43
32237.0
5735.3
Blue41
81827.0
4718.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443401001502004341

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
322
Unranked
37.00.3
38.438.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
818
Unranked
27.00.5
26.527.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
573
Unranked
5.30.3
5.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
471
Unranked
8.40.5
7.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End