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Red8
29231.7
4513.7
Blue64
6533.7
1642.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467502060100120140160864

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
31.70.3
32.031.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
16
Unranked
42.00.3
41.742.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45
Unranked
13.70.3
14.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.0
65
Unranked
33.70.3
33.333.7
Auto
Teleop
End