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Red35
46120.2
70612.9
Blue67
6832.9
29231.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336102040801001201403567

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
Unranked
20.20.2
20.420.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.7
68
Unranked
32.90.2
31.231.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
706
Unranked
12.90.2
13.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.8
292
Unranked
31.70.2
30.230.4
Auto
Teleop
End