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Red40
65831.0
9217.8
Blue49
8297.6
46120.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453301001502002503003504004049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
658
Unranked
31.01.3
24.222.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
461
Unranked
20.21.2
20.021.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
92
Unranked
17.81.3
20.619.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
829
Unranked
7.61.1
13.314.4
Auto
Teleop
End