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Red28
105515.7
122011.6
Blue49
10357.0
93327.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35370102030405060702849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1055
Unranked
15.71.4
21.620.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
933
Unranked
27.21.4
19.020.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1220
Unranked
11.61.4
14.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1035
Unranked
7.01.4
16.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End