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Red36
10826.2
24529.2
Blue32
55422.5
16711.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43342004006008001,0001,2003632

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
Unranked
29.20.3
15.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
554
Unranked
22.50.3
19.820.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
108
Unranked
26.20.2
27.227.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
167
Unranked
11.40.3
13.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End