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Red37
93016.4
6533.7
Blue65
38218.8
39117.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374602060801001201403765

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65
Unranked
33.71.0
30.529.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
382
Unranked
18.80.9
22.823.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
930
Unranked
16.41.2
6.45.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
391
Unranked
17.41.2
23.124.3
Auto
Teleop
End