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Red35
29231.7
55422.5
Blue33
65831.0
64818.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483901001502002503003533

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
31.70.3
28.328.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
658
Unranked
31.00.4
25.926.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
554
Unranked
22.50.5
20.119.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
648
Unranked
18.20.3
13.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End