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Red16
110319.7
13523.8
Blue41
64818.2
104212.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542101001502001641

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
Unranked
23.82.2
30.928.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
648
Unranked
18.22.2
13.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1103
Unranked
19.73.6
22.719.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1042
Unranked
12.63.6
7.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End