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Red70
89217.5
55422.5
Blue15
2698.4
94218.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402801001502007015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
554
Unranked
22.52.7
18.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
942
Unranked
18.42.7
19.917.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
892
Unranked
17.51.8
21.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
269
Unranked
8.42.7
7.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End