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Red60
7134.9
10826.2
Blue14
816.3
93327.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513501001502002503003504006014

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
34.91.9
25.026.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
933
Unranked
27.21.9
20.919.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
108
Unranked
26.21.4
25.827.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
81
Unranked
6.31.9
14.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End