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Red40
20125.1
1075.6
Blue22
70612.9
912.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342801002003004004022

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
Unranked
25.10.5
26.226.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
706
Unranked
12.90.7
15.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
Unranked
5.60.7
8.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
9
Unranked
12.50.7
12.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End