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Red57
6533.7
816.3
Blue86
4513.7
9318.0
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403102060801001201405786

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65
Unranked
33.71.6
34.432.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
93
Unranked
18.02.4
17.820.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
81
Unranked
6.32.4
5.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
45
Unranked
13.71.4
12.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End