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Red29
16711.4
1075.6
Blue26
21718.6
24529.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352201001502002503003504002926

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
Unranked
11.40.6
14.513.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
245
Unranked
29.20.6
15.115.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
Unranked
5.60.6
20.319.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
217
Unranked
18.60.4
7.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End