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Red118
29231.7
10120.2
Blue43
1064-6.3
101816.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4916040608010012011843

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
Unranked
31.71.6
28.630.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
1018
Unranked
16.11.6
17.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
101
Unranked
20.22.7
20.022.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.5
1064
Unranked
-6.31.6
-1.5-3.1
Auto
Teleop
End