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Red89
55422.5
816.3
Blue51
10357.0
90918.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233104060801008951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
554
Unranked
22.52.9
19.922.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
909
Unranked
18.32.9
21.218.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
81
Unranked
6.32.9
3.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1035
Unranked
7.02.9
10.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End