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Red9
57032.7
31128.2
Blue58
51432.3
56931.8
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63600100200300400500600958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
570
Unranked
32.70.8
33.532.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
514
Unranked
32.30.8
30.231.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
311
Unranked
28.20.8
29.128.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
569
Unranked
31.80.8
29.930.7
Auto
Teleop
End