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Red3
31128.2
50620.5
Blue58
57032.7
120327.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49310100150358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
311
Unranked
28.24.6
26.221.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
570
Unranked
32.74.6
16.621.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
506
Unranked
20.54.0
23.119.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
1203
Unranked
27.94.6
14.419.0
Auto
Teleop
End