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Red6
5055.7
17331.6
Blue38
87021.0
35846.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59630204080100120140160638

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
31.61.2
43.041.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
358
Unranked
46.31.2
40.341.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
505
Unranked
5.71.8
16.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
870
Unranked
21.01.2
22.824.0
Auto
Teleop
End