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Red109
28724.9
3732.9
Blue59
51432.3
31128.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4439010015020025010959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
Unranked
24.91.7
21.823.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
514
Unranked
32.32.8
17.214.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
373
Unranked
2.92.8
22.124.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.3
311
Unranked
28.22.8
21.718.8
Auto
Teleop
End